MQ-000343
Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 16:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.08
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCfea8b…0976
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1mq101slr6mloeo40y3i",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.08,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.480393,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCf0a7f…0b19
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1mq101slr6mloeo40y3i",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.08,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.480393,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 24.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000343
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 1.95
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC81154…0eba
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu34sz009gr6q984ue6ct5",
"edge": 0.027779,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000343",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC4ca24…0632
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 55,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu34sz009gr6q984ue6ct5",
"edge": 0.027779,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000343",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.95
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000343.v2
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 1.85
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 03:11 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 03:11 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 03:11 UTC4ba5a…c4e6
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqnz3220008r6cm5wkc25p5",
"edge": -0.000199,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T03:11:14.787Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000343.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T03:11:14.787Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCeb701…f85b
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqnz3220008r6cm5wkc25p5",
"edge": -0.000199,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T03:11:14.787Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000343.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000343.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 03:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 03:11Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.85
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.