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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000345

MQ-000345

Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 16:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 53.2% · confidence 76
בוטל
Fair price
1.88
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Published
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Locked
Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC2a53a…35bf
2a53aa0e5b8ead383472054177f3966758273dd6804fa3481b8be23ee9a035bf
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1mq101slr6mloeo40y3i",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.53238,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000345",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC7c728…e4b1
7c728a402f160b26fbebe12aefae64de221e5ea94fb264eff3db1c1969ece4b1
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1mq101slr6mloeo40y3i",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.88,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.53238,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000345",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 53.2% · NO 46.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Data coverage
STANDARD
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000345

BTTS · YES · 55.2% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.81
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
Published
Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
Locked
Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTCa98ca…2836
a98caeac53408169e43cd566ce2cf966f85439d23911dc287c94c8a785fe2836
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 40,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxk8i2009ir6if2g1twbui",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.551677,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000345.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000345",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCdbe50…371d
dbe503195521cf090c86fde1b0f2e7568fffdd0c5ef6e70aa182044a6c02371d
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 40,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxk8i2009ir6if2g1twbui",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr39005br66z2la1ldjj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.551677,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000345.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000345",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 55.2% · NO 44.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-04 12:26Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-04 12:26Z
Data coverage
STANDARD
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000345 — Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Haifa · WinPIQ