MQ-000346
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Hapoel Ramat Gan · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.92
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC10c89…0181
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 2,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1qzk01ufr6mllr0bdg3s",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC14c95…111b
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 2,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1qzk01ufr6mllr0bdg3s",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.92,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.521451,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.1% · DRAW 27.9% · AWAY 20.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000346
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC64a51…4c5d
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 12,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkbhq00aor6ifurdc5eqd",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000346",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCbd633…ee65
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 12,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkbhq00aor6ifurdc5eqd",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000346",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000346.v2
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC83514…03fe
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 29,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu383200amr6q9pp9g5pkh",
"edge": -0.075225,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000346.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCf836b…25d1
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 29,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu383200amr6q9pp9g5pkh",
"edge": -0.075225,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000346.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000346.v3
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.33
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTCd89d6…818f
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 29,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrglu52001hr64fh5id6bco",
"edge": -0.100121,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3b005hr66zk4doi2ve",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:32:16.013Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.33,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000346.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000346.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:32:16.013Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 16:32Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 16:32Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.33
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.