MQ-000347
Getafe v Celta · La Liga · Mon 7 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.63
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCd5f46…0a79
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1u7q01v3r6mlubbdsd14",
"edge": 0.06706,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.63,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCf002e…d9db
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1u7q01v3r6mlubbdsd14",
"edge": 0.06706,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.63,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.63
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000347
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTCa588c…192a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxke2m00b8r6if7cxjozk7",
"edge": 0.032078,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000347",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC3305e…4535
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxke2m00b8r6if7cxjozk7",
"edge": 0.032078,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000347",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000347.v2
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.60
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTCc0278…3276
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrfogru009ar6e7no753l2a",
"edge": 0.05603,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.6,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000347.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC3f265…78f8
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrfogru009ar6e7no753l2a",
"edge": 0.05603,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.6,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000347.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000347.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:32:05.803Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 16:03Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 16:03Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.60
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.