PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000348

MQ-000348

Getafe v Celta · La Liga · Mon 7 Sept · 17:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 68.7% · confidence 92

בוטל

Fair price: 1.46
Market price: 1.43
Probability gap: 2.2 percentage points
Generated: Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Published: Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Locked: Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC

Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC9e2f5…8887

9e2f5fc37ed1b01a9bad8030c959395e38beceff306d0e7291813158dcfc8887

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1u7q01v3r6mlubbdsd14",
 "edge": 0.022448,
 "fairOdds": 1.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.43,
 "modelProbability": 0.686767,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC811da…5edd

811da6258436f8765b620868aade9f73f0aeb0964b317c75d74e298670aa5edd

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1u7q01v3r6mlubbdsd14",
 "edge": 0.022448,
 "fairOdds": 1.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.43,
 "modelProbability": 0.686767,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 31.3% · UNDER 68.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-01 09:58Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-01 09:58Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock: 1.43
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000348

OU25 · UNDER · 70.4% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.42
Market price: 1.43
Probability gap: 3.4 percentage points
Generated: Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
Published: Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
Locked: Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC0f68b…14af

0f68b8437176ec696f282bd773d74eaf2ee72d327256c696831775b4102814af

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxke2m00b8r6if7cxjozk7",
 "edge": 0.034014,
 "fairOdds": 1.42,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.43,
 "modelProbability": 0.70376,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC0f922…04b4

0f922d312499e88fe28b0f5a8ce5f49e98074428887d90c6340c707340f604b4

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxke2m00b8r6if7cxjozk7",
 "edge": 0.034014,
 "fairOdds": 1.42,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.43,
 "modelProbability": 0.70376,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 29.6% · UNDER 70.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-04 12:26Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-04 12:26Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.43
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000348.v2

OU25 · UNDER · 69.0% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.39
Probability gap: 1.2 percentage points
Generated: Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Published: Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Locked: Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTCebde4…f7f8

ebde413c7f24bf549a8af7c0952424411dfa1016f5ee77af4b94c418206ff7f8

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ard00b6r6q99pr3ll3l",
 "edge": 0.012093,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.39,
 "modelProbability": 0.690334,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC009be…fafc

009bebdbeedcde2dd301bfdc68082cdad8cd0eece8abea934e15e921b6e8fafc

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ard00b6r6q99pr3ll3l",
 "edge": 0.012093,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.39,
 "modelProbability": 0.690334,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 31.0% · UNDER 69.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-05 03:36Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-05 03:36Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.39
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000348.v3

OU25 · UNDER · 69.0% · confidence 94 · reason: Official lineup

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.32
Probability gap: 2.4 percentage points
Generated: Mon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTC
Published: Mon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTC
Locked: Mon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 16:03 UTC3750b…31d5

3750bec70c496501032d42547dc8407e52db66c19625e333f444a716630c31d5

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrfogru009ar6e7no753l2a",
 "edge": -0.024143,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.32,
 "modelProbability": 0.690143,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 16:32 UTC7767e…98ac

7767e41525d1356c5790c80402899aa67ca6ad7b97260c0d3c18dd86738f98ac

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrfogru009ar6e7no753l2a",
 "edge": -0.024143,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtgirjja002ul504p7n10u5b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T16:03:41.677Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.32,
 "modelProbability": 0.690143,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000348.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000348.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T16:32:05.803Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 31.0% · UNDER 69.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-07 16:03Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-07 16:03Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H0_1
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.32
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.