MQ-000351
Bnei Sakhnin v Beitar Jerusalem · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 17:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC7d745…2c59
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1yhe01wxr6mlrz53b3ih",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.509117,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC4b611…32bc
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1yhe01wxr6mlrz53b3ih",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.509117,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 50.9% · UNDER 49.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000351
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC5938a…c1a3
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxki9g00d2r6if0zspio7x",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.510691,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000351",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC43347…f76c
{
"confidenceScore": 78,
"dataQualityScore": 40,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxki9g00d2r6if0zspio7x",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.510691,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000351",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 48.9% · UNDER 51.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000351.v2
- Fair price
- 1.95
- Market price
- 2.15
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC98e45…b2a8
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3gtp00bwr6q9ifwmy1bt",
"edge": 0.07668,
"fairOdds": 1.95,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.15,
"modelProbability": 0.513853,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000351.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC64427…913c
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3gtp00bwr6q9ifwmy1bt",
"edge": 0.07668,
"fairOdds": 1.95,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.15,
"modelProbability": 0.513853,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000351.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000351.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 48.6% · UNDER 51.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.15
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.