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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000352

MQ-000352

Bnei Sakhnin v Beitar Jerusalem · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 17:15 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 50.4% · confidence 78
בוטל
Fair price
1.98
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Published
Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
Locked
Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCd6b1a…bf42
d6b1a873b3bcba56c5f438ff8f04ae45735e1f32e8fd15665869b926b09fbf42
{
 "confidenceScore": 78,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1yhe01wxr6mlrz53b3ih",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.98,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.503963,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000352",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC1b93e…2d6a
1b93e80e6245c046a81030c816f6f058de1b49049afffd3bba1e2c0776752d6a
{
 "confidenceScore": 78,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtii1yhe01wxr6mlrz53b3ih",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.98,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.503963,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000352",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.4% · NO 49.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-01 09:58Z
Data coverage
STANDARD
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000352

BTTS · YES · 51.6% · confidence 82 · reason: Model refresh
החטאה
Fair price
1.94
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Locked
Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC33d28…7868
33d28a804f5d50c586e7724c2eff75a30ce7e3f7454bb9066e2b0f1612c27868
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 57,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3gtp00bwr6q9ifwmy1bt",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.516006,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000352.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000352",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC64a4c…3f1e
64a4c34cbce48872e77cd647cfca16c796205fbe5ce09e1ce5df1bee40c93f1e
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 57,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3gtp00bwr6q9ifwmy1bt",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtdicr3d005nr66zqfhg2zuj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.516006,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000352.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000352",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 51.6% · NO 48.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Data coverage
STANDARD
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.