MQ-000353
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Tel Aviv · Israeli Premier League · Mon 7 Sept · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.97
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC6484c…e83f
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii240p01yfr6mlepo4vah8",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.97,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5083,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCe9ffa…0ea1
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii240p01yfr6mlepo4vah8",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.97,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5083,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 50.8% · DRAW 20.6% · AWAY 28.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000353
- Fair price
- 2.01
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC7cdb2…a258
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 44,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkl5e00e4r6ifym9ls7cz",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.01,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.497051,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000353",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC5a56a…6f69
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 44,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkl5e00e4r6ifym9ls7cz",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.01,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.497051,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000353",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 49.7% · DRAW 21.1% · AWAY 29.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000353.v2
- Fair price
- 2.01
- Market price
- 2.30
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC03102…f3ff
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 61,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3l1800der6q9cq6bc4go",
"edge": 0.106592,
"fairOdds": 2.01,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.3,
"modelProbability": 0.497051,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000353.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 15:32 UTCe1128…7412
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 61,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3l1800der6q9cq6bc4go",
"edge": 0.106592,
"fairOdds": 2.01,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtdicr3e005tr66zi1yqpu2j",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.3,
"modelProbability": 0.497051,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000353.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000353.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T15:32:04.329Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 49.7% · DRAW 21.1% · AWAY 29.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.30
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.