MQ-000360
Elche v Sociedad · La Liga · Mon 7 Sept · 19:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.62
- Market price
- 1.88
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Published
- Tue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTC
Publication recordTue 1 Sept · 09:58 UTCbe887…7692
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii2fvs021xr6ml25v24dbg",
"edge": 0.112789,
"fairOdds": 1.62,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.616747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTCeddda…3ef8
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtii2fvs021xr6ml25v24dbg",
"edge": 0.112789,
"fairOdds": 1.62,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:58:37.741Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.616747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T17:32:05.699Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 61.7% · UNDER 38.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-01 09:58Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 1.88
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000360
- Fair price
- 1.69
- Market price
- 1.80
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Published
- Fri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 4 Sept · 12:26 UTCfc6db…2cde
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkqz800fer6if95xnf2m2",
"edge": 0.066844,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.59191,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000360",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTCf70e9…1363
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtmxkqz800fer6if95xnf2m2",
"edge": 0.066844,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-04T12:26:17.825Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.59191,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000360",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T17:32:05.699Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.2% · UNDER 40.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-04 12:26Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.80
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000360.v2
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.77
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC0cc40…0772
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3qql00emr6q93ngyb1ov",
"edge": 0.043663,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.77,
"modelProbability": 0.579096,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000360.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 7 Sept · 17:32 UTC690b8…f5c7
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3qql00emr6q93ngyb1ov",
"edge": 0.043663,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.77,
"modelProbability": 0.579096,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000360.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T17:32:05.699Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 57.9% · UNDER 42.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.77
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000360.v3
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.70
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTCb7948…27bb
{
"confidenceScore": 74,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrm3lul044kjs04okaedl39",
"edge": 0.022489,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtgirjlt0030l504yobsq668",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T19:06:42.466Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.7,
"modelProbability": 0.577463,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000360.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000360.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T19:06:42.466Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 57.7% · UNDER 42.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 19:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 19:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.70
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.