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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000365

MQ-000365

Real Madrid v Inter · UEFA Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · OVER · 63.1% · confidence 91
בוטל
Fair price
1.58
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTCd4018…16bf
d4018e319c511956a0139ba7cb5c70f249e38a0ea00a817b3e6d9d9d167216bf
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ya000g6r6q9g6t5kgo5",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.631318,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCe32ac…61cf
e32acfc1fc101751e220b98b29f363969643cd760eddd8e249320ab7622061cf
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ya000g6r6q9g6t5kgo5",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.631318,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 63.1% · UNDER 36.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000365

OU25 · OVER · 61.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.63
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 10:29 UTC52490…e433
5249056ec2e89580bd0c742db4cbfc8d66bef8bdba67b9ac58154debcbe9e433
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmto8r6gr00bmjm04ad1pngr4",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.63,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.614134,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCb7d03…9aed
b7d03256da6f4fe5adfd570e47ff8bed0ce530ad07c9c6344ab6ea7209ff9aed
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmto8r6gr00bmjm04ad1pngr4",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.63,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T10:29:03.142Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.614134,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 61.4% · UNDER 38.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 10:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 10:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000365.v2

OU25 · OVER · 62.9% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.59
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 12:07 UTC99fc8…1e70
99fc836c3527d64b6a70b4f929bc0bf2952da31a9222f9d6623899c4232f1e70
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtoccepe00a6r6xcbrfmlv5f",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T12:07:45.469Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.628543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T12:07:45.469Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC8716d…933d
8716d88317e7f5e5b7195cd36016a9f2db75cf137adc7bd6633a84848ff5933d
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtoccepe00a6r6xcbrfmlv5f",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T12:07:45.469Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.628543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 62.9% · UNDER 37.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 12:07Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 12:07Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000365.v3

OU25 · OVER · 64.9% · confidence 72 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.54
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
Published
Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC5038a…06a9
5038a65128c18dafe229be2f2789ecc7784cad5e2b2f87fc8797f9cd85be06a9
{
 "confidenceScore": 72,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeusqi008cr629l67vkwrf",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.648674,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCb41cf…902f
b41cf72790d4d76bccc7230a5db68b7d1a8cf3bd70f3662c9dc98ecad98e902f
{
 "confidenceScore": 72,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeusqi008cr629l67vkwrf",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.648674,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.9% · UNDER 35.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-06 06:06Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-06 06:06Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000365.v4

OU25 · OVER · 64.8% · confidence 91 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.54
Market price
1.53
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.7 percentage points
Generated
Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Published
Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC23b64…febc
23b64380a4e0e3473ed27556038d26c757a3035dacc783f7fc4350039f9ffebc
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb75sk001qr694565upugc",
 "edge": 0.027305,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.53,
 "modelProbability": 0.647652,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCf7a89…b6e6
f7a891e1e0d42f8037836dd341cb17ec2c803f141ae1c177166e024a1786b6e6
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb75sk001qr694565upugc",
 "edge": 0.027305,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.53,
 "modelProbability": 0.647652,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.8% · UNDER 35.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-06 21:12Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-06 21:12Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.53
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000365.v5

OU25 · OVER · 64.3% · confidence 91 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.56
Market price
1.50
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.7 percentage points
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTCd0d8f…355e
d0d8f1d6e347159e406292e7ccfd6c0ab50e6fc295fa83b0661d10bd1899355e
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo613001xkt04jo8b7k3s",
 "edge": 0.007133,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.643055,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCfe7c0…b0fe
fe7c08f28398dcc3a693860647bc0a210589df7be891ec2ee4f0e23502f1b0fe
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo613001xkt04jo8b7k3s",
 "edge": 0.007133,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.643055,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.3% · UNDER 35.7%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
not recorded for this prediction
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.50
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000365.v6

OU25 · OVER · 62.5% · confidence 73 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.60
Market price
1.50
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.1 percentage points
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 09:10 UTCf6d08…9802
f6d083a393d7b8b350dc7d01d01faf4dd08521031859911e7a299059e6a89802
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtr0tmwr001qr6rysxuf7u4o",
 "edge": -0.01059,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T09:10:20.573Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.625332,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T09:10:20.573Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC3602a…de6e
3602a8fb5fbaf8327a21e60376c12de965e875c45dcdcadd5d023da80776de6e
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtr0tmwr001qr6rysxuf7u4o",
 "edge": -0.01059,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T09:10:20.573Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.625332,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 62.5% · UNDER 37.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 09:10Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 09:10Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.50
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000365.v7

OU25 · OVER · 64.3% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.56
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTCc7f40…798f
c7f405bb60e4cfb0653c6bff067a3ad372c608e3b929e316fa4f9443c831798f
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyilh000qr6jq23hvi2or",
 "edge": -0.013455,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.64287,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCfcf5d…28ee
fcf5d1409ac3a0ca5b9384f73a093aefedd3abfcac005f98bddd6921a47c28ee
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyilh000qr6jq23hvi2or",
 "edge": -0.013455,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.64287,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.3% · UNDER 35.7%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 18:06Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 18:06Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000365.v8

OU25 · OVER · 62.5% · confidence 72 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.60
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.1 percentage points
Generated
Tue 8 Sept · 09:07 UTC
Published
Tue 8 Sept · 09:07 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 09:07 UTCf07a6…4587
f07a6289ade2d76b77a2225c772a2b22da9139c2a85eb9435a4858aacf394587
{
 "confidenceScore": 72,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsg5pej000qr6bko729bblv",
 "edge": -0.030876,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T09:07:52.617Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.625449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T09:07:52.617Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC8bd68…7e2c
8bd68bfbfb297810cab3dae9fa6e1df94d591b74086cf6b610140822ba317e2c
{
 "confidenceScore": 72,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsg5pej000qr6bko729bblv",
 "edge": -0.030876,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T09:07:52.617Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.625449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 62.5% · UNDER 37.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-08 09:07Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-08 09:07Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000365.v9

OU25 · OVER · 64.3% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.56
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Tue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Published
Tue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTCab90d…0c1a
ab90d6443a885d62865d4a6ced3f8cf82aed1b9f44e855f8bd764568fea60c1a
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsmkkfy000er688rwox5br9",
 "edge": -0.013305,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.64302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC27bf1…b1ff
27bf18253f1b570456ebb28e62124d5ee78e171cf1cb829c7ed5368a8f19b1ff
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsmkkfy000er688rwox5br9",
 "edge": -0.013305,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.64302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000365.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000365.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 64.3% · UNDER 35.7%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-08 12:07Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-08 12:07Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.