MQ-000366
Real Madrid v Inter · UEFA Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.52
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC3c020…8357
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ya000g6r6q9g6t5kgo5",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.658886,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCca508…4f14
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu3ya000g6r6q9g6t5kgo5",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.658886,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 65.9% · NO 34.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000366
- Fair price
- 1.55
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 06:06 UTCf8326…2cb8
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzgn6h00e4r6cn6cinrrw2",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.55,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.647098,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC0abd2…7ebe
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnzgn6h00e4r6cn6cinrrw2",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.55,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T06:06:57.530Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.647098,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 64.7% · NO 35.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000366.v2
- Fair price
- 1.50
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTCbaa46…d8f5
{
"confidenceScore": 72,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeusqi008cr629l67vkwrf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.5,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.666083,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCa226b…460d
{
"confidenceScore": 72,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeusqi008cr629l67vkwrf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.5,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.666083,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 66.6% · NO 33.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000366.v3
- Fair price
- 1.53
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC2e6b6…2d01
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo613001xkt04jo8b7k3s",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.53,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.652826,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCcd572…544b
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo613001xkt04jo8b7k3s",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.53,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhhm00mklc04nl9pbpvf",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.652826,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000366.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000366.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 65.3% · NO 34.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 04:26Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 04:26Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.