MQ-000370
Dortmund v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTCbc124…b1dc
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu46tp00ier6q90fyn6g2h",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzho200mwlc04rhos3n7h",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.558279,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000370",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC7b263…ff74
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu46tp00ier6q90fyn6g2h",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzho200mwlc04rhos3n7h",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.558279,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000370",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 55.8% · NO 44.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000370
- Fair price
- 1.74
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 06:06 UTC3f731…b4ab
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeuy5b009sr62938twytnk",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.74,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzho200mwlc04rhos3n7h",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.573543,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000370.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000370",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCd78bb…5724
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtpeuy5b009sr62938twytnk",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.74,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzho200mwlc04rhos3n7h",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T06:06:49.123Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.573543,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000370.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000370",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 57.4% · NO 42.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.