MQ-000372
Lille v Betis · UEFA Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC9495b…43be
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu4bx900k8r6q9vg3v8u3p",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.544801,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTCe729d…5ff1
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu4bx900k8r6q9vg3v8u3p",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.544801,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.5% · UNDER 54.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 03:36Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000372
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC07d14…2236
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb7i30004qr694q0t03na1",
"edge": 0.078618,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.552302,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000372",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC775da…2d19
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb7i30004qr694q0t03na1",
"edge": 0.078618,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.552302,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000372",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 44.8% · UNDER 55.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000372.v2
- Fair price
- 1.78
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 04:41 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 04:41 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 04:41 UTC4c3b7…6646
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmts6mr1j0010kz04vwoo2fpd",
"edge": 0.089029,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T04:41:24.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.562713,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000372.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T04:41:24.723Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC18de3…867c
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmts6mr1j0010kz04vwoo2fpd",
"edge": 0.089029,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T04:41:24.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.562713,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000372.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000372.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.7% · UNDER 56.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 04:41Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 04:41Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.