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🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000373

MQ-000373

Lille v Betis · UEFA Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · NO · 50.2% · confidence 88
בוטל
Fair price
1.99
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 03:36 UTC2344e…c606
2344e471677e3f4bdbddbd0c830107e9d207eff59fc4d6608744274b1a51c606
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu4bx900k8r6q9vg3v8u3p",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.99,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.502195,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000373",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC604b1…bb2e
604b19ae9659141e5c3451b78dd36c69ead3dce6a972394de3ce966d5507bb2e
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtnu4bx900k8r6q9vg3v8u3p",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.99,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T03:36:08.663Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.502195,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000373",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 49.8% · NO 50.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 03:36Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000373

BTTS · NO · 51.3% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh
החטאה
Fair price
1.95
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Locked
Tue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC582f0…d5de
582f0376e49e360ccd56e3d94b9fdf40055110472fdf485b3adf8963cb2dd5de
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo7qz003jkt04aff77oys",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.95,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.513043,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000373.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000373",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordTue 8 Sept · 17:02 UTC84e4f…2044
84e4f6e624749ad364da1afb39bdea7ac57fabedf035eaf030526957af7f2044
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo7qz003jkt04aff77oys",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.95,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhra00n2lc04uym9l6bi",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.513043,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000373.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000373",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T17:02:06.022Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 48.7% · NO 51.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
not recorded for this prediction
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.