WinPIQKnow Before You Pick.
Sign in
🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000374

MQ-000374

Barcelona v Feyenoord Rotterdam · UEFA Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 75.9% · confidence 65
בוטל
Fair price
1.32
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Published
Sat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Locked
Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTCba9c9…b397
ba9c9aa93823941f47b73b9964ea68711e8aaa67e85cbc7766f9d078700cb397
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 5,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtop4rjk005kr6zb9qj76bzv",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.759161,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTCf3813…97fa
f38131d95c26050bd3ccb89889aa0177fc35620fa1b93b01ae9e366265d597fa
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 5,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtop4rjk005kr6zb9qj76bzv",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.759161,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 75.9% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 6.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-05 18:06Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-05 18:06Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000374

1X2 · HOME · 77.9% · confidence 65 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.28
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC
Locked
Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 04:26 UTC33576…85f1
33576d2bc1d509197dd626cc18c336ac214597ecdfd1034f4dbf5c89525285f1
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 5,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo8bq0049kt043j4mrxnp",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.28,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.779189,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC88317…e297
88317e3b7c5481259245fc93688cde0ca67f9787a46d56db64ddcdd06a19e297
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 5,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtqqo8bq0049kt043j4mrxnp",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.28,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T04:26:46.515Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.779189,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 77.9% · DRAW 16.3% · AWAY 5.7%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 04:26Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
not recorded for this prediction
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000374.v2

1X2 · HOME · 77.9% · confidence 68 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.28
Market price
1.10
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
7.7 percentage points
Generated
Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Published
Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
Locked
Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTCb42bc…3023
b42bc96a0ba787a15bd957c85902cea293360964f5dad822b57ee7ca3b363023
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 20,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyu8l002ir6jqz542qh0h",
 "edge": -0.07685,
 "fairOdds": 1.28,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.779189,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC20a16…c33b
20a16aa2d2e29bb4b1dfca2e98bb335018e17b6b33a89a3b1b6977915a6fc33b
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 20,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyu8l002ir6jqz542qh0h",
 "edge": -0.07685,
 "fairOdds": 1.28,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.779189,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 77.9% · DRAW 16.3% · AWAY 5.7%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-07 18:06Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-07 18:06Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.10
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000374.v3

1X2 · HOME · 75.9% · confidence 70 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.32
Market price
1.08
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
11.4 percentage points
Generated
Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
Published
Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
Locked
Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC42afa…2f7e
42afa499a7996e47033d7c938aab12831c9ee9f48fdf4f46273f8f8a4c522f7e
{
 "confidenceScore": 70,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmttvwqp40002r6fadacs9c83",
 "edge": -0.114096,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.759161,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC58ecd…4b45
58ecd0a9b45f218b86bbf90d759824fd10fd572b79c98ccc4fce7e855d074b45
{
 "confidenceScore": 70,
 "dataQualityScore": 30,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmttvwqp40002r6fadacs9c83",
 "edge": -0.114096,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtkbzhuh00n8lc04gpcw1aqz",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.759161,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000374.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000374.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 75.9% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 6.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-09 09:16Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-09 09:16Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.08
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.