MQ-000375
Stuttgart v Viking FK · UEFA Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 18:06 UTC0db3d…adb1
{
"confidenceScore": 65,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtop4uj00064r6zbcxmunwk2",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.580433,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTCd447d…9b03
{
"confidenceScore": 65,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtop4uj00064r6zbcxmunwk2",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T18:06:34.327Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.580433,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 58.0% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 16.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000375
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.22
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 19.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 18:06 UTC3bdff…fba2
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 20,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyx0r0032r6jq4zx46ent",
"edge": -0.193445,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.22,
"modelProbability": 0.576614,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000375",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTCc3542…51a7
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 20,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrjyx0r0032r6jq4zx46ent",
"edge": -0.193445,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T18:06:28.639Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.22,
"modelProbability": 0.576614,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000375",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 57.7% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.22
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000375.v2
- Fair price
- 1.97
- Market price
- 1.22
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 25.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTCad50a…bbce
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvwvbe000mr6fawnw28vo7",
"edge": -0.255263,
"fairOdds": 1.97,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.22,
"modelProbability": 0.508275,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000375.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 14:32 UTCcd2a0…209e
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvwvbe000mr6fawnw28vo7",
"edge": -0.255263,
"fairOdds": 1.97,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzhxs00nelc04p1otzw10",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.22,
"modelProbability": 0.508275,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000375.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000375.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T14:32:06.103Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 50.8% · DRAW 25.7% · AWAY 23.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.22
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.