MQ-000379
Paris SG v ŠK Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTCf44b4…7f30
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtovny1v006wr6unjajpvsku",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.689693,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTCc61b2…2dbe
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtovny1v006wr6unjajpvsku",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.689693,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T17:02:05.962Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.0% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 21:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 21:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000379
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.04
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 21.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTC
- Published
- Mon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 7 Sept · 19:06 UTC6ffef…0a40
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 20,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrm3qqg047mjs04vpxaekt8",
"edge": -0.215124,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T19:06:42.466Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.04,
"modelProbability": 0.689693,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000379",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-07T19:06:42.466Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTCc0ad2…76de
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 20,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtrm3qqg047mjs04vpxaekt8",
"edge": -0.215124,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-07T19:06:42.466Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.04,
"modelProbability": 0.689693,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000379",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T17:02:05.962Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.0% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-07 19:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-07 19:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- not recorded for this prediction
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.04
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000379.v2
- Fair price
- 1.56
- Market price
- 1.03
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 27.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTCe3d2e…d048
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvx6vd002or6fahf997bes",
"edge": -0.275267,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.03,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000379.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC52166…9cc2
{
"confidenceScore": 69,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvx6vd002or6fahf997bes",
"edge": -0.275267,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbzi4900nqlc04yymu24t1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.03,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000379.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000379.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T17:02:05.962Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.03
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.