MQ-000383
Sporting Clube de Portugal v Galatasaray SK · UEFA Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 5 Sept · 21:09 UTC6af14…b648
{
"confidenceScore": 64,
"dataQualityScore": 0,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtovo5op0094r6unpwd58ccv",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbziaw00o2lc04qymlxyb1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000383",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC2ac35…1174
{
"confidenceScore": 64,
"dataQualityScore": 0,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtovo5op0094r6unpwd58ccv",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbziaw00o2lc04qymlxyb1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-05T21:09:26.368Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000383",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T17:02:05.962Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-05 21:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-05 21:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000383
- Fair price
- 2.51
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Wed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTCe4de1…3f5b
{
"confidenceScore": 47,
"dataQualityScore": 0,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvxjx40052r6faidtfah6w",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbziaw00o2lc04qymlxyb1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000383.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000383",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordWed 9 Sept · 17:02 UTCc99b8…79e5
{
"confidenceScore": 47,
"dataQualityScore": 0,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvxjx40052r6faidtfah6w",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkbziaw00o2lc04qymlxyb1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000383.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000383",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T17:02:05.962Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 39.8% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.