MQ-000386
Bayern Munich v FK Bodø/Glimt · UEFA Champions League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.32
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTCb060e…827b
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb7zxs007cr6941g4d3sih",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.32,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.759161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTCd5cb5…ed77
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb7zxs007cr6941g4d3sih",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.32,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.759161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 75.9% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 6.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000386
- Fair price
- 1.36
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTCcdb63…90a2
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvxx6p006er6faq6cfjqmy",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.733925,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000386",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC4ac15…108b
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvxx6p006er6faq6cfjqmy",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.733925,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000386",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.4% · DRAW 17.2% · AWAY 9.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000386.v2
- Fair price
- 1.24
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTCbd2fd…8fcc
{
"confidenceScore": 64,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4miz80010r63kz41bbjyk",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.24,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.808519,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000386.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC1ca87…748d
{
"confidenceScore": 64,
"dataQualityScore": 5,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4miz80010r63kz41bbjyk",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.24,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc6qx004yr6kgix2v8w4s",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.808519,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000386.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000386.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 80.9% · DRAW 13.3% · AWAY 5.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.