PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000390
MQ-000390
Como v RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
BTTS · YES · 55.7% · confidence 90
- Fair price
- 1.80
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 6 Sept · 21:12 UTCd5154…831e
d51542ca56deb591d0dcbe567279a2e7043403f0580cd0c1be2564a7ad15831e
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb857e008gr694srnzb772",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.557042,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC06f05…c29e
06f05e1fb99a01c51fdda7ca5323c1b653af34a4226c0fe777f6a892a00bc29e
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtqb857e008gr694srnzb772",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-06T21:12:58.810Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.557042,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 55.7% · NO 44.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-06 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
What this proves
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000390
BTTS · YES · 54.6% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 1.83
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTCb28b6…f058
b28b6afa5294bd0a513ea16d403312ce5c7a73cb9a05d284b7fbea7fb214f058
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszflg8003cr6szfnwghpyo",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.546359,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC82a7d…3d83
82a7de8d12f70bef790d5e7d2d0695df52b61cb1d79b76075cb1314c3b993d83
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszflg8003cr6szfnwghpyo",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.546359,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 54.6% · NO 45.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
What this proves
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000390.v2
BTTS · YES · 68.2% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 1.47
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC942b8…c0cc
942b8f10b941303609070ba95473deaf441fe7b9470bdb3650fbb423f1ffc0cc
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvy4dr007ir6faxfhbvyij",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.47,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.681984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC0127a…1f29
0127a1be59ad3e70a9f3e9b39769e1685eb0291c2f987a99512691d8e0401f29
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvy4dr007ir6faxfhbvyij",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.47,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.681984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 68.2% · NO 31.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
What this proves
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000390.v3
BTTS · YES · 66.0% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 1.52
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC606a6…45d4
606a6d9a5b71c881f15468ed7824bf0f45a98c5ef0cd6592c090275e8aaa45d4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4mpuq0024r63ke2gip1nu",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.65972,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC80169…0ee7
80169d4bd6d1a446d9830283cc08208a8b0aa26e6432962c147c2043bf0a0ee7
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4mpuq0024r63ke2gip1nu",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.65972,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 66.0% · NO 34.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
What this proves
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000390.v4
BTTS · YES · 67.1% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh
- Fair price
- 1.49
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 09:19 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 09:19 UTC
- Locked
- Thu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 09:19 UTC678b5…805d
678b5da56a71135948389e6d4af9202428886a6735ba749cb21dcda1923f805d
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvbh4pt000qr6mvfdkxs7uh",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.49,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T09:19:55.282Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.67063,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T09:19:55.282Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordThu 10 Sept · 17:02 UTC5a8fe…cc6c
5a8fe2fd221aa836470cfad73f15db9a7e5a6fbbfbda14c5239b65e258fccc6c
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvbh4pt000qr6mvfdkxs7uh",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.49,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtkzc7s8005ar6kgn1npxd9w",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T09:19:55.282Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.67063,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000390.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000390.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T17:02:02.651Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 67.1% · NO 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 09:19Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 09:19Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
What this proves
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.