PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000402

MQ-000402

Santander v Alaves · La Liga · Sat 12 Sept · 12:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 42.4% · confidence 71

בוטל

Fair price: 2.36
Market price: 2.38
Probability gap: 2.5 percentage points
Generated: Tue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Published: Tue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTC
Locked: Sat 12 Sept · 10:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 12:07 UTCd3173…d60b

d3173d092caa98c027ef32b5c3ca91bc7f299e7eb31bbf02a54a36182546d60b

{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 34,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsmm0oc005wr688hjelqclz",
 "edge": 0.024607,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtnufkql0044r6v2r3fp7chx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.38,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000402",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 10:02 UTC4469e…c9ff

4469eea9033a62fa736766fb7f94edabfebba7d46917ec0c7e448ebdaf37c9ff

{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 34,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtsmm0oc005wr688hjelqclz",
 "edge": 0.024607,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtnufkql0044r6v2r3fp7chx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-08T12:07:27.326Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.38,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000402",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T10:02:05.559Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-08 12:07Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-08 12:07Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.38
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000402

1X2 · HOME · 42.4% · confidence 71 · reason: Official lineup

פגיעה

Fair price: 2.36
Market price: 2.58
Probability gap: 5.4 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 09:04 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 09:04 UTC
Locked: Sat 12 Sept · 10:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 09:04 UTC7c486…cc08

7c486df965e74974119df569e13807e52bad0f7ffc5cdcb429cc24d598e9cc08

{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 36,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmty5xfqo0075r60o13muw1up",
 "edge": 0.054285,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtnufkql0044r6v2r3fp7chx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:04:44.513Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000402.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000402",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T09:04:44.513Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 10:02 UTCc293c…fc30

c293c4deaabe708257b9e979f9be9e9c0a33c55f290b6feddd5ede557162fc30

{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 36,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmty5xfqo0075r60o13muw1up",
 "edge": 0.054285,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtnufkql0044r6v2r3fp7chx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:04:44.513Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000402.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000402",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T10:02:05.559Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 09:04Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 09:04Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.58
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.