MQ-000403
Genoa v Frosinone · Serie A · Sat 12 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.78
- Market price
- 3.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC0ce02…01de
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszg2ps0054r6szhl66124r",
"edge": 0.100601,
"fairOdds": 2.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnug1hb005rr6v2jzxf66zh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.67,
"modelProbability": 0.35939,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000403",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 11:02 UTC43ef9…263e
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszg2ps0054r6szhl66124r",
"edge": 0.100601,
"fairOdds": 2.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnug1hb005rr6v2jzxf66zh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.67,
"modelProbability": 0.35939,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000403",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T11:02:06.353Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 28.9% · DRAW 35.1% · AWAY 35.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000403
- Fair price
- 2.78
- Market price
- 3.35
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTCa6a68…5e7e
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzj4u40008r6l4u9mg5a6p",
"edge": 0.076078,
"fairOdds": 2.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnug1hb005rr6v2jzxf66zh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.35,
"modelProbability": 0.35939,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000403.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000403",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 11:02 UTCadd08…4365
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 33,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzj4u40008r6l4u9mg5a6p",
"edge": 0.076078,
"fairOdds": 2.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnug1hb005rr6v2jzxf66zh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.35,
"modelProbability": 0.35939,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000403.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000403",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T11:02:06.353Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 28.9% · DRAW 35.1% · AWAY 35.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.35
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.