MQ-000421
Liverpool v Fulham · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTCcd908…6ce5
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszh2ye00f2r6szfn9rmj67",
"edge": -0.075408,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf70k001yr6v22c0br0dy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.580917,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000421",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC0f286…41be
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszh2ye00f2r6szfn9rmj67",
"edge": -0.075408,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf70k001yr6v22c0br0dy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.580917,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000421",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.1% · UNDER 41.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000421
- Fair price
- 1.76
- Market price
- 1.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTCda997…aeee
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4nr0z007cr63kru8qh56p",
"edge": -0.076575,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf70k001yr6v22c0br0dy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.569056,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000421.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000421",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTCd8f80…6378
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4nr0z007cr63kru8qh56p",
"edge": -0.076575,
"fairOdds": 1.76,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf70k001yr6v22c0br0dy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.569056,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000421.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000421",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 56.9% · UNDER 43.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.