MQ-000423
Bournemouth v Brentford · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.21
- Market price
- 2.48
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTCd35e7…ed88
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszh8qm00gwr6szro80rv45",
"edge": 0.070798,
"fairOdds": 2.21,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf8je002cr6v2fzy6f6q6",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.48,
"modelProbability": 0.45247,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000423",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC48327…26b1
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszh8qm00gwr6szro80rv45",
"edge": 0.070798,
"fairOdds": 2.21,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf8je002cr6v2fzy6f6q6",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.48,
"modelProbability": 0.45247,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000423",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 45.2% · DRAW 26.7% · AWAY 28.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.48
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000423
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 2.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC44175…fe96
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvudxw5002wr6gao80m03nv",
"edge": 0.09661,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf8je002cr6v2fzy6f6q6",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.46,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000423.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000423",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTCbde35…5e4e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvudxw5002wr6gao80m03nv",
"edge": 0.09661,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf8je002cr6v2fzy6f6q6",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.46,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000423.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000423",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.