MQ-000429
Aston Villa v Nott'm Forest · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC185fe…0e88
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszhi0k00j4r6sz9b4r7exa",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf7q90025r6v204a1ds74",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5531,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000429",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC6c035…4115
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszhi0k00j4r6sz9b4r7exa",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf7q90025r6v204a1ds74",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.5531,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000429",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 55.3% · NO 44.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000429
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC72289…3fc4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvzxiw00cmr6fa33n6v7l4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf7q90025r6v204a1ds74",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.565015,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000429.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000429",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTCcd330…743e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttvzxiw00cmr6fa33n6v7l4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuf7q90025r6v204a1ds74",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.565015,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000429.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000429",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 56.5% · NO 43.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.