MQ-000430
Osasuna v Espanol · La Liga · Sat 12 Sept · 14:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 2.09
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC299a1…91a8
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszhn2y00kmr6szjflkuucc",
"edge": 0.026952,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuflnf004br6v22847jmn8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.09,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000430",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTCab0a4…b4d7
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszhn2y00kmr6szjflkuucc",
"edge": 0.026952,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuflnf004br6v22847jmn8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.09,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000430",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.09
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000430
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 2.21
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTCbbfe1…8180
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzk0k1002kr6l473dosn1q",
"edge": 0.051349,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuflnf004br6v22847jmn8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.21,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000430.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000430",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 12:02 UTCd1445…5b92
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzk0k1002kr6l473dosn1q",
"edge": 0.051349,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnuflnf004br6v22847jmn8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.21,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000430.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000430",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:02:05.229Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.21
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.