MQ-000443
Tottenham v Everton · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.88
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 8 Sept · 18:06 UTCe50ad…f85d
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszi92k00rgr6szte9gqatc",
"edge": 0.024138,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.528096,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTCbf07f…7684
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtszi92k00rgr6szte9gqatc",
"edge": 0.024138,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-08T18:06:56.691Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.528096,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T14:32:06.506Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.2% · UNDER 52.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-08 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.88
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000443
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC4a238…20bb
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzke87003ur6l4l7fppn48",
"edge": 0.054013,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.527697,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000443",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTCbe8d8…c064
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzke87003ur6l4l7fppn48",
"edge": 0.054013,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.527697,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000443",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T14:32:06.506Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.2% · UNDER 52.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000443.v2
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 2.12
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC52370…6139
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmty65iw80066r6l80dxp5qj9",
"edge": 0.081207,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.12,
"modelProbability": 0.527682,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000443.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 14:32 UTCf74c4…e74f
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmty65iw80066r6l80dxp5qj9",
"edge": 0.081207,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnufa02002qr6v2zm3mem30",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.12,
"modelProbability": 0.527682,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000443.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000443.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T14:32:06.506Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 47.2% · UNDER 52.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 09:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 09:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.12
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.