MQ-000457
Le Havre v Angers · Ligue 1 · Sat 12 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.21
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC66a30…f301
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttw1b8c00k4r6fage8q0nz7",
"edge": 0.011817,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.21,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTCdab5e…3d94
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttw1b8c00k4r6fage8q0nz7",
"edge": 0.011817,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.21,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T16:32:06.256Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.21
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000457
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.47
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC7f6f7…6130
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvueq37005cr6gaf9cqjqpt",
"edge": 0.055838,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.47,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000457",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC25c1f…5d54
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvueq37005cr6gaf9cqjqpt",
"edge": 0.055838,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.47,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000457",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T16:32:06.256Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.47
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000457.v2
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.62
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC2123a…01ac
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxt6zes003kr65v3tb4z4yb",
"edge": 0.078324,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.62,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000457.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTCf0c7d…a8b7
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxt6zes003kr65v3tb4z4yb",
"edge": 0.078324,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.62,
"modelProbability": 0.44001,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000457.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000457.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T16:32:06.256Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 03:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 03:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.62
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.