MQ-000458
Le Havre v Angers · Ligue 1 · Sat 12 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.79
- Market price
- 1.72
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 09:16 UTC556d0…8d0e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttw1b8c00k4r6fage8q0nz7",
"edge": 0.009605,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.72,
"modelProbability": 0.558161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000458",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTCb8499…b9fa
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmttw1b8c00k4r6fage8q0nz7",
"edge": 0.009605,
"fairOdds": 1.79,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T09:16:44.683Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.72,
"modelProbability": 0.558161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000458",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T16:32:06.256Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 44.2% · UNDER 55.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.72
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000458
- Fair price
- 1.80
- Market price
- 1.84
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC641f5…d695
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzkp4c0050r6l4w792fel9",
"edge": 0.044934,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.84,
"modelProbability": 0.55687,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000458.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000458",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 12 Sept · 16:32 UTCabdab…1f3b
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzkp4c0050r6l4w792fel9",
"edge": 0.044934,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtnugtp7009or6v2xfmlor3n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.84,
"modelProbability": 0.55687,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000458.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000458",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T16:32:06.256Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 44.3% · UNDER 55.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.84
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.