MQ-000477
RB Leipzig v Hamburg · Bundesliga · Sun 13 Sept · 13:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC2b9e9…b965
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtueyekj00b4r6cbj3qsgdly",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.599132,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC77a48…a793
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtueyekj00b4r6cbj3qsgdly",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.599132,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T11:32:01.264Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 59.9% · NO 40.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000477
- Fair price
- 1.71
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
- Published
- Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTCf0178…2ca3
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3r52j0064r6sbc29wvdfc",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.585984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000477",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC279ed…773e
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3r52j0064r6sbc29wvdfc",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.585984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000477",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T11:32:01.264Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 58.6% · NO 41.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-11 15:17Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-11 15:17Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000477.v2
- Fair price
- 1.68
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC9d56f…8e37
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzlabq007cr6l4mm9plpc8",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.596748,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000477.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 11:32 UTC44f3f…e816
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzlabq007cr6l4mm9plpc8",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8x5h5005ur65v7em6myr1",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.596748,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000477.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000477.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T11:32:01.264Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 59.7% · NO 40.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.