PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000478

MQ-000478

Levante v Barcelona · La Liga · Sun 13 Sept · 14:15 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · AWAY · 59.4% · confidence 89

בוטל

Fair price: 1.68
Market price: 1.19
Probability gap: 20.6 percentage points
Generated: Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
Published: Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
Locked: Sun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTCa3ade…ae50

a3adeeb0b412d31c86923798108f638c06b94c3809a5c38d2be215d3fbd6ae50

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtueykg000d4r6cbg7rk9fs3",
 "edge": -0.20618,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.594377,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000478",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC62413…4951

624131b1501b94a9c16441e7966192ca89d90150e0d87bf7f1c16fc66f6f4951

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtueykg000d4r6cbg7rk9fs3",
 "edge": -0.20618,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.594377,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000478",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:02:03.268Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.2% · DRAW 24.3% · AWAY 59.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-09 18:07Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-09 18:07Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.19
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000478

1X2 · AWAY · 59.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Market price update

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.68
Market price: 1.16
Probability gap: 22.7 percentage points
Generated: Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
Published: Thu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC
Locked: Sun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 06:08 UTC967fa…5919

967fae03b29f50e180d4e6f6ab0e622be461ccf304592420a26607ccd8625919

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4p8o200d8r63kt3wdgnsh",
 "edge": -0.226688,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.16,
 "modelProbability": 0.594377,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000478.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000478",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC09ee5…4abc

09ee51dd52c760c87210f45a5df02321af1fcdaeb11a585d0a460d7ee0824abc

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtv4p8o200d8r63kt3wdgnsh",
 "edge": -0.226688,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T06:08:23.422Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.16,
 "modelProbability": 0.594377,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000478.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000478",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:02:03.268Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.2% · DRAW 24.3% · AWAY 59.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-10 06:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-10 06:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.16
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.