MQ-000479
Levante v Barcelona · La Liga · Sun 13 Sept · 14:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.63
- Market price
- 1.29
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTCb7de3…7c1b
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtueykg000d4r6cbg7rk9fs3",
"edge": -0.117051,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.29,
"modelProbability": 0.615314,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000479",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC9ba66…4112
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtueykg000d4r6cbg7rk9fs3",
"edge": -0.117051,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.29,
"modelProbability": 0.615314,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000479",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:02:03.268Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 61.5% · UNDER 38.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.29
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000479
- Fair price
- 1.63
- Market price
- 1.24
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTCa49c8…b20b
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzllkio0024r68ptk9xxv83",
"edge": -0.145028,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.24,
"modelProbability": 0.615127,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000479.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000479",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 12:02 UTC1594d…a6b3
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzllkio0024r68ptk9xxv83",
"edge": -0.145028,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wipu0036r65vwowzpgnq",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.24,
"modelProbability": 0.615127,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000479.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000479",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:02:03.268Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 61.5% · UNDER 38.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 09:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 09:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.24
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.