MQ-000491
Sassuolo v Juventus · Serie A · Sun 13 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.97
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTC4d10b…2dd6
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtulgyfg008cr632xw86yh42",
"edge": 0.062576,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wuli004sr65v060r54m5",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.97,
"modelProbability": 0.544155,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000491",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC102cc…45ba
{
"confidenceScore": 86,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtulgyfg008cr632xw86yh42",
"edge": 0.062576,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wuli004sr65v060r54m5",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.97,
"modelProbability": 0.544155,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000491",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T16:41:14.231Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 45.6% · UNDER 54.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 21:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 21:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.97
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000491
- Fair price
- 1.80
- Market price
- 1.98
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Published
- Fri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC4711a…f1b5
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxghgkw0062r6jw2ok5ncz4",
"edge": 0.077265,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wuli004sr65v060r54m5",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.98,
"modelProbability": 0.554838,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000491.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000491",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC0903f…ce4b
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxghgkw0062r6jw2ok5ncz4",
"edge": 0.077265,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wuli004sr65v060r54m5",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.98,
"modelProbability": 0.554838,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000491.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000491",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T16:41:14.231Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 44.5% · UNDER 55.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-11 21:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-11 21:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.98
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.