MQ-000493
Brest v Paris SG · Ligue 1 · Sun 13 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.09
- Market price
- 1.30
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 25.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 21:10 UTCdefd8…ea57
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtulh4an00a6r63235atd92q",
"edge": -0.250924,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8xhrk007dr65vfyxvyl1m",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.3,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000493",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTCca534…7916
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtulh4an00a6r63235atd92q",
"edge": -0.250924,
"fairOdds": 2.09,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8xhrk007dr65vfyxvyl1m",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T21:10:09.071Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.3,
"modelProbability": 0.478277,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000493",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T16:41:14.231Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 25.7% · DRAW 26.5% · AWAY 47.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 21:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 21:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.30
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000493
- Fair price
- 2.06
- Market price
- 1.25
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 27.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC4e1e9…66b1
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmty67c1l00eor6l8oldfqoti",
"edge": -0.273123,
"fairOdds": 2.06,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8xhrk007dr65vfyxvyl1m",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.25,
"modelProbability": 0.485099,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000493.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000493",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 16:41 UTC4c86c…594c
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmty67c1l00eor6l8oldfqoti",
"edge": -0.273123,
"fairOdds": 2.06,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8xhrk007dr65vfyxvyl1m",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.25,
"modelProbability": 0.485099,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000493.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000493",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T16:41:14.231Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 26.0% · DRAW 25.5% · AWAY 48.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 09:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 09:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.25
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.