MQ-000499
Como v Parma · Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.70
- Market price
- 1.23
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 18.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC1c014…13b2
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvufw2y00a8r6gau391cdcr",
"edge": -0.183699,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoctif005dr6d8estu85zo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.23,
"modelProbability": 0.587022,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000499",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC63d1e…f6ce
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvufw2y00a8r6gau391cdcr",
"edge": -0.183699,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoctif005dr6d8estu85zo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.23,
"modelProbability": 0.587022,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000499",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 58.7% · DRAW 24.8% · AWAY 16.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.23
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000499
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 1.23
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 16.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTCd18a1…dbb0
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzm78600dsr6l4a131br1q",
"edge": -0.166143,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoctif005dr6d8estu85zo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.23,
"modelProbability": 0.606879,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000499.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000499",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTCaace2…002a
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzm78600dsr6l4a131br1q",
"edge": -0.166143,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoctif005dr6d8estu85zo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.23,
"modelProbability": 0.606879,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000499.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000499",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 60.7% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 12.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.23
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.