PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000502

MQ-000502

Torino v Roma · Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · AWAY · 65.2% · confidence 90

בוטל

Fair price: 1.53
Market price: 1.58
Probability gap: 5.2 percentage points
Generated: Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published: Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC767b8…a8c5

767b823f025f38a878b314905936496ffe5f39b8b68bf1af9a35eab183b6a8c5

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug22z00c8r6gaw48xgkil",
 "edge": 0.051718,
 "fairOdds": 1.53,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.651764,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTCab387…222d

ab38764f2714cfad0e892fb4a1cd3a0a50619529707788b3ea6faea7045d222d

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug22z00c8r6gaw48xgkil",
 "edge": 0.051718,
 "fairOdds": 1.53,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.651764,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.8% · DRAW 26.0% · AWAY 65.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-10 18:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-10 18:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.58
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000502

1X2 · AWAY · 63.5% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.58
Market price: 1.57
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 11 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Published: Fri 11 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 09:10 UTC45c3c…e5c6

45c3cb8e6fc6330af71f702b3ffcf13190f67c4a394425442eef0fb69ae4e5c6

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtwqnr6000cor6dstibe8hmq",
 "edge": 0.031699,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T09:10:30.776Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.57,
 "modelProbability": 0.634643,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T09:10:30.776Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTCc7ed9…7650

c7ed9d12e0840b436bb9a672f44cc651e4571ca17f8ba2f5a2951e21236a7650

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtwqnr6000cor6dstibe8hmq",
 "edge": 0.031699,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T09:10:30.776Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.57,
 "modelProbability": 0.634643,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.3% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 63.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-11 09:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-11 09:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.57
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000502.v2

1X2 · AWAY · 65.2% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.53
Market price: 1.58
Probability gap: 5.1 percentage points
Generated: Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
Published: Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC466fd…4ba3

466fdc360e4325ba15bdd69a74ecb53202edc19acc7bab972328fe2654004ba3

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3rwf300aqr6sb1h9jczca",
 "edge": 0.050652,
 "fairOdds": 1.53,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.651764,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC86c97…360e

86c9713174324c6bbadf5da27c899b8bc3b5f28d790ab4bc04540e6f2eb0360e

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3rwf300aqr6sb1h9jczca",
 "edge": 0.050652,
 "fairOdds": 1.53,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.651764,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.8% · DRAW 26.0% · AWAY 65.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-11 15:17Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-11 15:17Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.58
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000502.v3

1X2 · AWAY · 58.7% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.70
Market price: 1.57
Probability gap: 1.6 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC0b491…94d0

0b491edc8f1b98ccdc563360f39da98b9864f3bcd5de9247e4de9ee8709094d0

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzma8g00ekr6l4ywkcw5pj",
 "edge": -0.015728,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.57,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC7b958…a2a1

7b958b3071a867b3a9c31b131c55ffbaf405ad6b5a7941b972ef949319cca2a1

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzma8g00ekr6l4ywkcw5pj",
 "edge": -0.015728,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.57,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.0% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 58.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 06:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 06:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.57
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000502.v4

1X2 · AWAY · 63.6% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: 1.56
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 18:09 UTCa20af…a8df

a20afffd15d05ecc022a0aebbd29937a0d2749c06fc8d83d4be432704d00a8df

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtypb32s004kr6lq90vkan0w",
 "edge": 0.032341,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T18:09:22.118Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.56,
 "modelProbability": 0.635855,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T18:09:22.118Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC5485a…47ab

5485adfd9e4cf8705d07710fa88d6776c3b8163eacc5719ec523eea910ac47ab

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtypb32s004kr6lq90vkan0w",
 "edge": 0.032341,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T18:09:22.118Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.56,
 "modelProbability": 0.635855,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 12.2% · DRAW 24.3% · AWAY 63.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.56
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000502.v5

1X2 · AWAY · 58.7% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.70
Market price: 1.55
Probability gap: 2 percentage points
Generated: Sun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTC
Published: Sun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 09:14 UTC08bcf…9f53

08bcf26de3b19750d0f02de49cbf5371abe2514083ca6f39988c206199959f53

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzlmw41006ar68p6dpnv1am",
 "edge": -0.020495,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC432e7…bcd7

432e726827b079a519c91e4a92fe91d063fae16141396bb4b09bbee81b61bcd7

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzlmw41006ar68p6dpnv1am",
 "edge": -0.020495,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T09:14:14.572Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.0% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 58.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-13 09:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-13 09:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.55
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000502.v6

1X2 · AWAY · 63.6% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: 1.55
Probability gap: 2.8 percentage points
Generated: Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Published: Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTCdcc09…b0e8

dcc0956157f7de1a7b86fe2a4389f80ba47bf74ff89d970322f79ac7adfeb0e8

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrw2cz004yr64k34tiwdsy",
 "edge": 0.027568,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.635855,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTCd709c…a531

d709c92b5caceca46065b503759099d96084b266a8e6160078677d392110a531

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrw2cz004yr64k34tiwdsy",
 "edge": 0.027568,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.635855,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 12.2% · DRAW 24.3% · AWAY 63.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-13 12:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-13 12:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.55
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000502.v7

1X2 · AWAY · 70.7% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.41
Market price: 1.54
Probability gap: 9.6 percentage points
Generated: Sun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC
Published: Sun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC985b1…37cd

985b13d644d88d4f39153bdef95ef506e6ea50ea32b799e17d51027456bc37cd

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzydmf0002er6lic7t0fhnu",
 "edge": 0.09588,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.707396,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC0a614…8edf

0a614347ab2192deef2bb7a2e9da7920cf10fe44b8f4a307d3365310edc58edf

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzydmf0002er6lic7t0fhnu",
 "edge": 0.09588,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.707396,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.7% · DRAW 20.6% · AWAY 70.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-13 15:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-13 15:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.54
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000502.v8

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.54
Probability gap: 8 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTCcc399…3b1a

cc3992d5265e3ee19cb0856963caea38276d29875ed99d389e0b0f0c45c13b1a

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0ui41z000er6sdr23h546p",
 "edge": 0.080285,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC8c192…81fb

8c192b1f1ed50b81a5f4d8913b13b98069567e3b4144690d6fc693f0d5a981fb

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0ui41z000er6sdr23h546p",
 "edge": 0.080285,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 06:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 06:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.54
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000502.v9

1X2 · AWAY · 58.7% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.70
Market price: 1.54
Probability gap: 2.6 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC6f712…f059

6f7129601e1ae7c3f678f442140bb0e2cf419153d1822b7865e891e9d8f0f059

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10z1qu000er6gk1lle8h68",
 "edge": -0.026422,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC81c9d…92ac

81c9d63ec7af9230c3d210466483bb830442c6d58724df9a22cf811039cf92ac

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10z1qu000er6gk1lle8h68",
 "edge": -0.026422,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.54,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.0% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 58.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 09:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 09:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.54
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000502.v10

1X2 · AWAY · 65.9% · confidence 91 · reason: Official lineup

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.53
Probability gap: 3.7 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTCd2fb4…b1e2

d2fb4c8e53f29c28114eb3202a7f514347535bc5022ba3c770195b24015cb1e2

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1bj6ek006or6rpoooeb15w",
 "edge": 0.037223,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.53,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC5eed8…c8f8

5eed899027fc1117b90cf89bc508f68fc2f27b3f0d89234d9a06ad55100fc8f8

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1bj6ek006or6rpoooeb15w",
 "edge": 0.037223,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.53,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000502.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000502.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.9% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 65.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 14:05Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 14:05Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.53
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.