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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000504

MQ-000504

Torino v Roma · Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 54.1% · confidence 90
בוטל
Fair price
1.85
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published
Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked
Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC6d1dc…5d86
6d1dc6fa700db05e724b912feb72013c11fa95f93b92d245f92bf936b16c5d86
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug22z00c8r6gaw48xgkil",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.540542,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTCe8b1a…381e
e8b1ace15ae18cdc3b2f561205b93770a829f1ed61b17e607854cafccac4381e
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug22z00c8r6gaw48xgkil",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.540542,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 54.1% · NO 45.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-10 18:08Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-10 18:08Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000504

BTTS · YES · 52.9% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published
Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked
Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC1e6e4…4f77
1e6e469fc39c3c29d24c9dc430bde3a864854eb6ea0a79a6f09be39f60bb4f77
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzma8g00ekr6l4ywkcw5pj",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.529266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC62b5c…5049
62b5c17b1bd96e82a741b263b4ba67cbfe7114834c62180b617f721ded815049
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzma8g00ekr6l4ywkcw5pj",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.529266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 52.9% · NO 47.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-12 06:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-12 06:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000504.v2

BTTS · YES · 50.4% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.98
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC
Published
Sun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC
Locked
Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 15:11 UTC75c83…2a7d
75c839c5fb253dc879cf70cac2736c78526a23ab47c28a5880e1ffb9a26d2a7d
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzydmf0002er6lic7t0fhnu",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.98,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.504306,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC93e66…b8d4
93e66029bc545011be4cb66b3f1f7cc75460e17c2c3b713d2fb05f039252b8d4
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzydmf0002er6lic7t0fhnu",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.98,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T15:11:49.377Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.504306,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.4% · NO 49.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-13 15:11Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-13 15:11Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000504.v3

BTTS · YES · 52.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Published
Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Locked
Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC0e522…e12a
0e522a8fed1826bc23c4d68f35c85949f31ca440de90e355c492e3b1c2ace12a
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10z1qu000er6gk1lle8h68",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.528736,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC1ad6b…3e01
1ad6bc39858920b6b9a5d70703d36745937dd658488321db69375ade3af53e01
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10z1qu000er6gk1lle8h68",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.528736,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 52.9% · NO 47.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-14 09:12Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-14 09:12Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000504.v4

BTTS · YES · 51.7% · confidence 91 · reason: Official lineup
החטאה
Fair price
1.93
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Mon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTC
Published
Mon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTC
Locked
Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 14:05 UTC6b957…6a63
6b9571a37e1be7eb60b7508efba10b89bcb351558db3341b8b2190fe59666a63
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1bj6ek006or6rpoooeb15w",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.517004,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC7cd22…dc92
7cd22ce937c93c477e5119659f13c9095e497e32407d26f39420ca84eaefdc92
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1bj6ek006or6rpoooeb15w",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocu86005kr6d8bo452flr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T14:05:21.826Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.517004,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000504.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000504.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 51.7% · NO 48.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-14 14:05Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-14 14:05Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.