MQ-000505
Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Tel Aviv · Israeli Premier League · Mon 14 Sept · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTCc2ad5…1463
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 45,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug75m00e2r6gacls6dnl9",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa56l000lr6d8bjblayfv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000505",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 15:32 UTC760b1…2ed3
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 45,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvug75m00e2r6gacls6dnl9",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa56l000lr6d8bjblayfv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000505",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T15:32:05.589Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000505
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.10
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC553fd…0978
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 62,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzezdo4005ir6azld8wg860",
"edge": -0.002334,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa56l000lr6d8bjblayfv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.1,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000505.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000505",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 15:32 UTC731ab…bb79
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 62,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzezdo4005ir6azld8wg860",
"edge": -0.002334,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa56l000lr6d8bjblayfv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.1,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000505.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000505",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T15:32:05.589Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.10
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.