MQ-000508
Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Petah Tikva · Israeli Premier League · Tue 15 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTCa44e1…a874
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 13,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugc6700fqr6ga6h891b22",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTC898b5…3129
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 13,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugc6700fqr6ga6h891b22",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T15:32:06.479Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000508
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.62
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTCe599f…0b4d
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 28,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0uj59x0062r6sdmrpenn2u",
"edge": -0.026149,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000508",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTCa98e6…5d7f
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 28,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0uj59x0062r6sdmrpenn2u",
"edge": -0.026149,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000508",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T15:32:06.479Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.62
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000508.v2
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTCb8fb4…9b22
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2mwzqn000yr62gqdzfcm6t",
"edge": -0.065388,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000508.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 15:32 UTC6ae5e…59ba
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2mwzqn000yr62gqdzfcm6t",
"edge": -0.065388,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa5w4000rr6d8yfw2a1pl",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000508.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000508.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T15:32:06.479Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 12:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 12:14Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.