MQ-000509
Hapoel Haifa v Bnei Sakhnin · Israeli Premier League · Mon 14 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTCae568…4395
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugfau00ger6gad6zxzwva",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC6b570…6006
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 43,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugfau00ger6gad6zxzwva",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000509
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.80
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 06:08 UTC1cbef…5bb9
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 58,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzez2y40032r6azdivlxpd6",
"edge": 0.064556,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000509",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC5a5df…99c5
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 58,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzez2y40032r6azdivlxpd6",
"edge": 0.064556,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T06:08:18.832Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000509",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.80
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000509.v2
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- 1.80
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC7b83c…8feb
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 58,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0ui99f0016r6sdvjke0143",
"edge": 0.040046,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.539086,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000509.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 14:32 UTC4068d…f462
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 58,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0ui99f0016r6sdvjke0143",
"edge": 0.040046,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa6g3000xr6d8uqzhqbcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.8,
"modelProbability": 0.539086,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000509.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000509.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T14:32:05.534Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 53.9% · DRAW 28.8% · AWAY 17.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.80
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.