MQ-000512
Hapoel Petah Tikva v Hapoel Beer Sheva · Israeli Premier League · Sun 13 Sept · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC0acc4…b413
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 48,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugk5l00i2r6gak6z0qtna",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000512",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTC44ff0…2500
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 48,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugk5l00i2r6gak6z0qtna",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000512",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T15:32:01.164Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.7% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 53.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000512
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- 1.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC4671d…e15f
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzlth100asr6l4wrn7x7n8",
"edge": -0.083798,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000512.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000512",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTC935b4…2063
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzlth100asr6l4wrn7x7n8",
"edge": -0.083798,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000512.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000512",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T15:32:01.164Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.7% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 53.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-12 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.