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🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000514

MQ-000514

Hapoel Petah Tikva v Hapoel Beer Sheva · Israeli Premier League · Sun 13 Sept · 17:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 57.6% · confidence 81
החטאה
Fair price
1.74
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published
Thu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked
Sun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 18:08 UTCe2d5e…0c28
e2d5e86072c6da5f49a1a4b64b348d22a844c552cb61159357d3aa5ceb0c0c28
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 48,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugk5l00i2r6gak6z0qtna",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.576153,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000514",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 15:32 UTCb64a0…b0cd
b64a0de5e7b4c76bd68e15244c57240ba7c26a333d056524cf289489b5f2b0cd
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 48,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtvugk5l00i2r6gak6z0qtna",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqoa7220013r6d8lo9kkj13",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T18:08:46.599Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.576153,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000514",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T15:32:01.164Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 57.6% · NO 42.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-10 18:08Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-10 18:08Z
Data coverage
STANDARD
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.