PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000522

MQ-000522

Inter v Udinese · Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 67.0% · confidence 92

בוטל

Fair price: 1.49
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 8.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Published: Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC1907d…7ea2

1907dd3ca6463d1b3cad93aa6d05adf8fe0fab264f2b51c1050fb6a528967ea2

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtw1317p00b2r6yt5mq9la2n",
 "edge": -0.088365,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC8c7fd…37c8

8c7fde9ccfff854c1893851d72bf40d0e2f79fae96a8c27215582306ea1837c8

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtw1317p00b2r6yt5mq9la2n",
 "edge": -0.088365,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 67.0% · DRAW 20.9% · AWAY 12.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-10 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-10 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000522

1X2 · HOME · 64.1% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.56
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 11.6 percentage points
Generated: Fri 11 Sept · 12:08 UTC
Published: Fri 11 Sept · 12:08 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 12:08 UTC95b28…5a7f

95b2853ac0bd9174661c22c085c89f075b12fcf913e598a5972ab341dea75a7f

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtwx0zvr009yr661lnr2upgj",
 "edge": -0.116073,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:08:49.652Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.641422,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T12:08:49.652Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC7fea4…a63e

7fea40b83242ffe4857c43692ad067b6205009cc75c12ebf3c459d3f3930a63e

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtwx0zvr009yr661lnr2upgj",
 "edge": -0.116073,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:08:49.652Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.641422,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-11 12:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-11 12:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000522.v2

1X2 · HOME · 67.0% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.49
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 8.9 percentage points
Generated: Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
Published: Fri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 15:17 UTC45c11…cfda

45c11c9763817cc230f032015c108d08e9e23c543ec41aee851cfe178048cfda

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3savp00cmr6sbobeob1ds",
 "edge": -0.088622,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC22ae8…8498

22ae887942f66fd41da2fa08951c0959d8852b7f65c4c700ebc5cfb6f58a8498

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx3savp00cmr6sbobeob1ds",
 "edge": -0.088622,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T15:17:57.961Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 67.0% · DRAW 20.9% · AWAY 12.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-11 15:17Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-11 15:17Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000522.v3

1X2 · HOME · 69.8% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.43
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 6.3 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 03:10 UTC444f2…2e76

444f293d146e7e71c941b5c832ea07e368148d8ccf19ba94a6b47434fa882e76

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxt8kle008gr65v7l4nwewe",
 "edge": -0.062886,
 "fairOdds": 1.43,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.697699,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC4f5db…b803

4f5db734f91aae651f4fb9b9b4aa8c45b2ea0f526c1b99e1975b612d934db803

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxt8kle008gr65v7l4nwewe",
 "edge": -0.062886,
 "fairOdds": 1.43,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T03:10:35.980Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.697699,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 69.8% · DRAW 20.5% · AWAY 9.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 03:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 03:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000522.v4

1X2 · HOME · 68.2% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.47
Market price: 1.24
Probability gap: 7.9 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC378ca…f613

378ca3359bcd3c3635ef1650339e7262023371c398eeb13b70ba54905085f613

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzmnyj00her6l44yxa2y8x",
 "edge": -0.079404,
 "fairOdds": 1.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.68192,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTCdc95e…86a8

dc95e4a012628ae50a7e2af51700117a36ba50872fef6c13b804945b128786a8

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzmnyj00her6l44yxa2y8x",
 "edge": -0.079404,
 "fairOdds": 1.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.68192,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.2% · DRAW 21.3% · AWAY 10.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 06:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 06:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.24
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000522.v5

1X2 · HOME · 67.0% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.49
Market price: 1.24
Probability gap: 9.3 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 09:13 UTC61951…0478

61951aee000552155583bc9dcca0e44088961fe6291a5ee42113dbfe73f10478

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmty67zz200gyr6l81yw3fl79",
 "edge": -0.093206,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC1a546…2a47

1a546ef65dcce8346aa0ca3210ad0f53c4f663fcba2988791c93710b2f052a47

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmty67zz200gyr6l81yw3fl79",
 "edge": -0.093206,
 "fairOdds": 1.49,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T09:13:23.819Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.669812,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 67.0% · DRAW 20.9% · AWAY 12.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 09:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 09:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.24
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000522.v6

1X2 · HOME · 68.2% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.47
Market price: 1.24
Probability gap: 8.1 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 12:09 UTCdc1ae…501a

dc1aeba808d0f1c84e6af48a08293b6e7f9819dc76208ba6102879a68b50501a

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtychriz00bcr6lljwn0e1j7",
 "edge": -0.081073,
 "fairOdds": 1.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T12:09:08.313Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.68192,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T12:09:08.313Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTCe6363…08d6

e63637d96e7b822fd4d1c3a21c8e74272cdd8905f48ba4a46be9b71af7c608d6

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtychriz00bcr6lljwn0e1j7",
 "edge": -0.081073,
 "fairOdds": 1.47,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T12:09:08.313Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.68192,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.2% · DRAW 21.3% · AWAY 10.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 12:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 12:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.24
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000522.v7

1X2 · HOME · 69.8% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.43
Market price: 1.24
Probability gap: 6.6 percentage points
Generated: Sat 12 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Published: Sat 12 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 21:14 UTC6494b…fd4f

6494b27eedc07a61509b772864b55cf4277a23a43eb7dbbaeca613847588fd4f

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtyvwhby0052r62z4k9b29v1",
 "edge": -0.065871,
 "fairOdds": 1.43,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T21:14:03.815Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.698182,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T21:14:03.815Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC80475…6e92

80475fa123b29d34e6df95655959e141bdd0d55f2a0e0d9e24044cdabc306e92

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtyvwhby0052r62z4k9b29v1",
 "edge": -0.065871,
 "fairOdds": 1.43,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T21:14:03.815Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.698182,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 69.8% · DRAW 20.5% · AWAY 9.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-12 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-12 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.24
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000522.v8

1X2 · HOME · 68.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Market price update

בוטל

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.22
Probability gap: 8.7 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTCe7a15…a58c

e7a15695064e3c2f77c8a01940eea869d1a105cf5a410f2bc166de600dd3a58c

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10zmor002wr6gk42gl91bm",
 "edge": -0.087278,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.22,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC01758…eab2

01758ea541cc370e97abd07425384fe1315068715ee83adeb669a46b009aeab2

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu10zmor002wr6gk42gl91bm",
 "edge": -0.087278,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.22,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.9% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 09:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 09:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.22
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000522.v9

1X2 · HOME · 70.8% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.41
Market price: 1.20
Probability gap: 8.2 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC
Locked: Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC0c729…bf16

0c729a41fbd957d753f5a0ca4c007465e4005546885562c83808a6c55550bf16

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1dwls8001or63y6vfccscr",
 "edge": -0.082084,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.707797,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTCa7d47…5142

a7d47f46c1b33bb4ad74ae6bea4bdfaa960eeeb0d96ee2ca2500919e16125142

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1dwls8001or63y6vfccscr",
 "edge": -0.082084,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.707797,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000522.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000522.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 70.8% · DRAW 19.9% · AWAY 9.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 15:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 15:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.20
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.