MQ-000523
Inter v Udinese · Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.61
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTCac8e0…6c24
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtw1317p00b2r6yt5mq9la2n",
"edge": 0.011824,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.622511,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC59c41…0156
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtw1317p00b2r6yt5mq9la2n",
"edge": 0.011824,
"fairOdds": 1.61,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.622511,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 62.3% · UNDER 37.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 21:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 21:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000523
- Fair price
- 1.58
- Market price
- 1.49
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC377a1…fad0
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrwgkg006kr64kmi9a71x5",
"edge": 0.006304,
"fairOdds": 1.58,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.49,
"modelProbability": 0.633804,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000523",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC5ca7e…de38
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrwgkg006kr64kmi9a71x5",
"edge": 0.006304,
"fairOdds": 1.58,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.49,
"modelProbability": 0.633804,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000523",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 63.4% · UNDER 36.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 12:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 12:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.49
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000523.v2
- Fair price
- 1.60
- Market price
- 1.45
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 09:12 UTC37c73…b50c
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu10zmor002wr6gk42gl91bm",
"edge": -0.026402,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.45,
"modelProbability": 0.623356,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000523.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 16:32 UTCfbad4…480e
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu10zmor002wr6gk42gl91bm",
"edge": -0.026402,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqocury005qr6d85fjlbjxt",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T09:12:43.806Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.45,
"modelProbability": 0.623356,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000523.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000523.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T16:32:05.593Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 62.3% · UNDER 37.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 09:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 09:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.45
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.