MQ-000526
Leeds v Newcastle · Premier League · Mon 14 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.78
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Published
- Thu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 10 Sept · 21:14 UTC29b3c…9126
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtw137fm00d2r6yttt2ymtvq",
"edge": 0.011625,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoc5hy0031r6d89dw9xxik",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.78,
"modelProbability": 0.543204,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000526",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 17:02 UTC98ec9…f9f0
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtw137fm00d2r6yttt2ymtvq",
"edge": 0.011625,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoc5hy0031r6d89dw9xxik",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-10T21:14:32.689Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.78,
"modelProbability": 0.543204,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000526",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:02:04.314Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 54.3% · UNDER 45.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-10 21:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-10 21:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.78
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000526
- Fair price
- 1.86
- Market price
- 1.71
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 14 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 15:14 UTC76c06…a50b
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu1dwphp002gr63ypk7ic27m",
"edge": -0.014832,
"fairOdds": 1.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoc5hy0031r6d89dw9xxik",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.71,
"modelProbability": 0.537524,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000526.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000526",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 14 Sept · 17:02 UTC3b498…043d
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu1dwphp002gr63ypk7ic27m",
"edge": -0.014832,
"fairOdds": 1.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtqoc5hy0031r6d89dw9xxik",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T15:14:32.680Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.71,
"modelProbability": 0.537524,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000526.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000526",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T17:02:04.314Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 53.8% · UNDER 46.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 15:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 15:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.71
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.