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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000534

MQ-000534

Alaves v Valencia · La Liga · Tue 15 Sept · 18:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 53.9% · confidence 92
בוטל
Fair price
1.85
Market price
2.10
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
9.1 percentage points
Generated
Fri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Published
Fri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC40c57…390d
40c5747121e832c0d23a6539a4629b0da1ec5e9783dbac82ebc841c75477390d
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx9xaq400cqr6xnkzfdsjm5",
 "edge": 0.090554,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.539086,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCfd691…03d0
fd691de4730b0c7a5d72439c590561860aba507e7e037750a69e36236e5f03d0
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtx9xaq400cqr6xnkzfdsjm5",
 "edge": 0.090554,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.539086,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 53.9% · DRAW 28.8% · AWAY 17.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-11 18:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-11 18:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
2.10
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000534

1X2 · HOME · 53.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.85
Market price
1.96
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
5.8 percentage points
Generated
Fri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Published
Fri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 21:14 UTC0f6f7…611d
0f6f7d903ebffbce0b24e39eff7ebd88524be783da857d6ca9538e7f953b611d
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxgibzq009ar6jwcbabn6xc",
 "edge": 0.058057,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.96,
 "modelProbability": 0.539086,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCe41a5…2865
e41a598a426289ad75d02bbdc60e17f0f7a15db212ca8ebbee84bd4c61062865
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxgibzq009ar6jwcbabn6xc",
 "edge": 0.058057,
 "fairOdds": 1.85,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T21:14:03.879Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.96,
 "modelProbability": 0.539086,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 53.9% · DRAW 28.8% · AWAY 17.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-11 21:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-11 21:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.96
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000534.v2

1X2 · HOME · 56.4% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.77
Market price
1.94
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
7.9 percentage points
Generated
Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published
Sat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 12 Sept · 06:09 UTC0f720…3cd1
0f7202112e1a8c59321e9b252e8f7e10afc28bfe81c16e215c588976d94b3cd1
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzmxz300ior6l4lcs347ji",
 "edge": 0.078695,
 "fairOdds": 1.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.94,
 "modelProbability": 0.563596,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCb05b1…6682
b05b1a090d597d25a5fae29c159ad0d1580f8c42336e5fe8de90343a65a76682
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtxzmxz300ior6l4lcs347ji",
 "edge": 0.078695,
 "fairOdds": 1.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-12T06:09:10.212Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.94,
 "modelProbability": 0.563596,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-12 06:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-12 06:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.94
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000534.v3

1X2 · HOME · 59.4% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.68
Market price
1.91
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
9.8 percentage points
Generated
Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Published
Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC0e390…2de7
0e3909d6d52bd1c8c47aac25cc3a7d8c36465400d592cd7d823014b958ff2de7
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrwvhn007ur64kai6e2lno",
 "edge": 0.098075,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.91,
 "modelProbability": 0.594121,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCe83d9…b5a0
e83d96d1405a876e0963acb5627e12fd923113cc060b25136454299dc58bb5a0
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrwvhn007ur64kai6e2lno",
 "edge": 0.098075,
 "fairOdds": 1.68,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.91,
 "modelProbability": 0.594121,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 59.4% · DRAW 28.2% · AWAY 12.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-13 12:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-13 12:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.91
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000534.v4

1X2 · HOME · 60.7% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.65
Market price
1.90
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
10.5 percentage points
Generated
Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
Published
Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC8182a…b31e
8182a46eec34082b99eeec499bd730b9c99d9091fe4bd2fff67b2e971f5bb31e
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0uj8zn006qr6sds9were4c",
 "edge": 0.10495,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCb83d3…d2d9
b83d33543b930c85f360343bacbb20606cd3b2afbddb785454ebf5281f50d2d9
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0uj8zn006qr6sds9were4c",
 "edge": 0.10495,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 60.7% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 12.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-14 06:11Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-14 06:11Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.90
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000534.v5

1X2 · HOME · 60.7% · confidence 93 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.65
Market price
1.78
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
7.3 percentage points
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTC8ed30…882e
8ed3030adb95b8f99cb0e3a21d5b1846e9bf6034abb4e9a33fa422dbbf82882e
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu29txmt0012r6qggjo0869q",
 "edge": 0.073359,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T06:08:27.312Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.78,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T06:08:27.312Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTCa33de…4165
a33de1ee30a9dbd05ef4533894a625daf04788ae6487ee3cbebbf07207b74165
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu29txmt0012r6qggjo0869q",
 "edge": 0.073359,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T06:08:27.312Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.78,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 60.7% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 12.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 06:08Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 06:08Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.78
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000534.v6

1X2 · HOME · 60.7% · confidence 93 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.65
Market price
1.72
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
5.3 percentage points
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC8a4f1…b7b9
8a4f187c5acaac2a16fdaec297f13adca021a286f11372990720088a0e0eb7b9
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2mx76v001mr62gao34ds0u",
 "edge": 0.053099,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:02 UTC1efc9…9eea
1efc995003630c991c654d3b4b5f3a47bd314b9420bf4c08f93ec4c2d6379eea
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2mx76v001mr62gao34ds0u",
 "edge": 0.053099,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:02:05.961Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 60.7% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 12.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 12:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 12:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.72
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000534.v7

1X2 · HOME · 60.7% · confidence 94 · reason: Official lineup
החטאה
Fair price
1.65
Market price
1.64
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
2.8 percentage points
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 16:05 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 16:05 UTC
Locked
Tue 15 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 16:05 UTC9430a…d428
9430ab8f07be6d4cc4187ec7d4e4300233c06b1a1bd514a5feb93fd273ead428
{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2vaeg9007tr62bxekxj33g",
 "edge": 0.027929,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T16:05:52.165Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:05:52.165Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 15 Sept · 16:32 UTC13c56…5bac
13c5611a2525a2d764543a5dcbede1853f529fc4f968c3f698d58b4be1c95bac
{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2vaeg9007tr62bxekxj33g",
 "edge": 0.027929,
 "fairOdds": 1.65,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmts3luix003gr65jz2tcd4z3",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T16:05:52.165Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.606879,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000534.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000534.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T16:32:05.719Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 60.7% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 12.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 16:05Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 16:05Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.64
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.