MQ-000559
Betis v Getafe · La Liga · Thu 17 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.77
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC7d4db…5cd9
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu04pvv200acr6jr5gq31qk8",
"edge": 0.029845,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T18:08:15.427Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.77,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000559",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T18:08:15.427Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.77
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000559
- Fair price
- 1.85
- Market price
- 1.78
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 00:07 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 00:07 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 00:07 UTC0a92b…843c
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0hjizq005yr6zyiczgapvz",
"edge": 0.00676,
"fairOdds": 1.85,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T00:07:38.414Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.78,
"modelProbability": 0.539086,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000559.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000559",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T00:07:38.414Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 53.9% · DRAW 28.8% · AWAY 17.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 00:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 00:07Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.78
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000559.v2
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.74
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 06:08 UTCca711…fbcf
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu29v0eb005gr6qg2p4txg1t",
"edge": 0.0158,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T06:08:27.312Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.74,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000559.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000559.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T06:08:27.312Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 06:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 06:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.74
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000559.v3
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 12:14 UTCa9732…36b0
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2mz258006or62g9qbomye2",
"edge": -0.005234,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000559.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000559.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T12:14:32.558Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 12:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 12:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000559.v4
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 17 Sept · 14:06 UTC
- Published
- Thu 17 Sept · 14:06 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 17 Sept · 14:06 UTC925e6…0e21
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 82,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5lxu2g005sr68hdcc0at36",
"edge": -0.042104,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T14:06:58.296Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.563596,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000559.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000559.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-17T14:06:58.296Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 16.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-17 14:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-17 14:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.