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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000561

MQ-000561

Betis v Getafe · La Liga · Thu 17 Sept · 17:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · NO · 59.1% · confidence 93
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published
Sun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked
—
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 18:08 UTC2bf92…fc3b
2bf926e1bd38d3e727d3cc6141fa8b95f481482b194286934363c5738877fc3b
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu04pvv200acr6jr5gq31qk8",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T18:08:15.427Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.590702,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000561",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T18:08:15.427Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 40.9% · NO 59.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-13 18:08Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-13 18:08Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000561

BTTS · NO · 58.1% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.72
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
Published
Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
Locked
—
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC2c865…f158
2c8657510e51948a1b9d9b5e55c394a80f4fdbd910b3d563e222707cc71ff158
{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu48u1cr003wr6jj2gswc613",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.72,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuys3dd004qr6p7xt7eo2gm",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.580692,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000561.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000561",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 41.9% · NO 58.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-16 15:15Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-16 15:15Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.