MQ-000562
Plzen v Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.36
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC8e48b…8ea3
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 15,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0baump005kr6wnh2g9hau6",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyptsm0025r6p7okv2g0kv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.733925,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000562",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.4% · DRAW 17.2% · AWAY 9.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000562
- Fair price
- 1.36
- Market price
- 2.60
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 37.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC0fec4…9876
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu1k5wcs005ur62ik5temzcv",
"edge": 0.379266,
"fairOdds": 1.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyptsm0025r6p7okv2g0kv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.6,
"modelProbability": 0.733925,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000562.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000562",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.4% · DRAW 17.2% · AWAY 9.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.60
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000562.v2
- Fair price
- 1.36
- Market price
- 2.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 35.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Published
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTCd0233…034b
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5ipqvz001kr6fxdo4ee7e6",
"edge": 0.352737,
"fairOdds": 1.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyptsm0025r6p7okv2g0kv",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.5,
"modelProbability": 0.733925,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000562.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000562.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 73.4% · DRAW 17.2% · AWAY 9.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.