MQ-000565
Juventus v NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.28
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC6e60c…d37c
{
"confidenceScore": 68,
"dataQualityScore": 15,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0bb3a4007cr6wnkcc4aroe",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.28,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyprru001lr6p7g2kwsck8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.781607,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000565",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 78.2% · DRAW 16.2% · AWAY 5.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000565
- Fair price
- 1.32
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 06:11 UTC3a284…8746
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 15,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu0uktr300fur6sdt8vowuyz",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.32,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyprru001lr6p7g2kwsck8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.759161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000565.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000565",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T06:11:34.793Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 75.9% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 6.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 06:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000565.v2
- Fair price
- 1.32
- Market price
- 1.20
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTCb8145…3da8
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu1k64nh007mr62i3qnnbytt",
"edge": -0.004728,
"fairOdds": 1.32,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyprru001lr6p7g2kwsck8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.2,
"modelProbability": 0.759161,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000565.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000565.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 75.9% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 6.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.20
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000565.v3
- Fair price
- 1.32
- Market price
- 1.20
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC97ade…820f
{
"confidenceScore": 71,
"dataQualityScore": 30,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f1b98002kr6lyetqoa0u0",
"edge": -0.025239,
"fairOdds": 1.32,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtuyprru001lr6p7g2kwsck8",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.2,
"modelProbability": 0.757894,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000565.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000565.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 75.8% · DRAW 18.0% · AWAY 6.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.20
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.